07 Jan

Liberty vs. Aces predictions, picks, best bets by top experts

The No. 2 seed New York Liberty go on the road to play the No. 1 seed Las Vegas Aces in Game 2 of the 2023 WNBA Finals on Wednesday. In Game 1, Las Vegas defended its home court and beat the Liberty 99-82. The Aces rolled through the regular season and logged a 34-6 record. In a similar fashion, New York produced a superb campaign. The Liberty went 32-8 during the year. New York won the season series 3-1 over Las Vegas.

Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET. The Aces are 5-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 171 in the latest Liberty vs. Aces odds. Before making any Aces vs. Liberty picks and WNBA predictions, be sure to see what SportsLine women’s basketball experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai have to say.

Barzilai is a Ph.D. from Stanford who served as Director of Basketball Analytics for the Philadelphia 76ers. Five years ago, he founded HerHoopStats.com — a groundbreaking website that unlocks insights about the women’s game. Wetzel, the site’s lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women’s hoops to turn the site’s prediction model into picks.

Now, Barzilai and Wetzel have turned their attention to the WNBA after going 996-685 on all college basketball picks over the last two seasons, putting them up 294 units since the start of the 2021-22 season. They also finished the 2022 WNBA regular season with a 54-44 mark in 2022. Anyone who has followed them has seen huge returns.

Now, Barzilai and Wetzel have set their sights on Liberty vs. Aces and just locked in their picks and WNBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see their picks. Now, here are several WNBA odds and betting lines for Liberty vs. Aces:

Liberty vs. Aces spread: Aces -5
Liberty vs. Aces over/under: 171 points
Liberty vs. Aces money line: Aces -210, Liberty +175
Liberty vs. Aces picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Liberty can cover
The Liberty have a high-tempo and efficient offense. New York was ranked second in the league in scoring (89.2) and field goal percentage (46) but first in assists (24.1). This squad can rack up scoring from multiple players across the floor. Forward Breanna Stewart is an anchor in the frontcourt. Stewart leads the team in points (20) and blocks (2.4) with nine rebounds.

In Game 1, she had 21 points and nine rebounds. Forward Jonquel Jones joins Stewart in the frontcourt. Jones is an exceptional two-way force with great awareness around the rim. The 29-year-old is leading the team in rebounds (12.4) with 16.4 points per game. She’s registered a double-double in all seven playoff games thus far. Jones had 16 points and 10 rebounds in Game 1. See which team to pick here.

Why the Aces can cover
Las Vegas has been rolling throughout the playoffs, winning six straight games. This stellar play is just carrying over from the regular season. The Aces led the WNBA in points (92.8), field goal percentage (48.6) and blocks (4.8). Forward A’Ja Wilson continues to be a dominant force. She is first on the team in scoring (24.7), rebounds (10.7), and blocks (3.2).

In Game 1, Wilson notched 19 points, eight rebounds and three blocks. Guard Kelsey Plum is a nice three-level scorer with good court vision. Plum is averaging 17.7 points, 3.2 assists and shoots 37% from beyond the arc during the postseason. The Washington product dropped 26 points and five rebounds in the Game 1 victory. See which team to pick here.

How to make Liberty vs. Aces picks
For Game 2 of the 2023 WNBA Finals, Barzilai and Wetzel are leaning Over on the point total, but also highlight a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. They are only sharing what it is, and which side of the Liberty vs. Aces spread to back, at SportsLine.

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